Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Location: San Siro, Milan, Italy

Kick-Off: Sunday, January 24, 2:45 PM ET

Inter Milan

Inter, who were the online betting favorites heading into the season, have a six-point lead on their city rivals atop Serie A, but they`ve been uncharacteristically shaky at the back lately. They`ve been scoring despite the absence of Samuel E`to, who is away at the African Cup of Nations, but manager Jose Mourinho can`t be impressed with the way his defense has played lately. They may have some problems in midfield as well as Thiago Motta and Dejan Stankovic are injury worries for the Milan Derby.

AC Milan

Milan has won its last four overall, and they`ve been sparked by Ronaldinho, who is finally starting to resemble the player who won most of the major individual awards between 2004 and 2006. While Ronaldinho has carried the offensive load, the re-emergence of Alessandro Nesta has also been crucial to Milan`s improvement over the year, but he may miss this game along with Alex Pato, who is definitely out. 

Outlook and Pick

Inter is a +140 favorite in the 174th edition of the Milan derby, while Milan (the “home“ team since they share the field at the San Siro with Inter) is rated at +175, and a draw comes in at +210. Inter has won six of the last 10 Milan derbies, including a 4-0 thrashing of Milan back in August, and you can bet that revenge will factor into this game as Milan was embarrassed. They`ve improved greatly over the season, and even with the injuries they`re facing in this game, Milan has enough quality and pride in the side to come away with the win in this match (Side note: in the last 10 meetings between these two sides, there has been no draws, and eight have gone over the posted total). Look for Ronaldinho to put Milan on his back and lead the team to a famous win over their city rivals, as he is the one player on the pitch that can change the game with one move, and he`s been in a rich vein of form, posting a Serie A-leading eight assists to go with his nine goals, which is tops on Milan.

Bookmaker odds (bookmaker reviews) pick: Milan +175

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