The match result wager is the most popular football wager there is. It always has been, and it probably always will be. The total goals wager is not far behind in terms of popularity, though, and this is not at all surprising. Betting on total goals is not only very simple, it can also be very profitable if done in the right way.
I’m going to share five tips for betting on total goals in football matches. I can’t PROMISE that following these tips will turn you into a winner, but they’ll definitely improve your chances of making some money.
Stick to singles and small multiples
One of the biggest mistakes that football bettors make is chasing the big win. A lot of people like to place accumulators with several selections, as they view this as the easiest route to making money. They’re wrong, however, as accumulators can be EXTREMELY hard to get right.
When betting on total goals, I generally stick to placing singles. I’ll sometimes place small accumulators with up to four selections, but only if I’m VERY confident. I’ve found this is the best way to make profits on a consistent and regular basis.
I do understand the appeal of going for large accumulators, as the potential payouts can be very attractive. You’re not going to win them very often though. You may get the occasional big win, but you’ll lose a lot of money too. Even if you go for “obvious” selections, there’s always a good chance that at least one selection will let you down.
Choose your games carefully
Another common mistake people make is betting on too many games. It might SEEM like betting on every single game will give you a higher chance of winning, but the opposite is true. Quality is what matters here, not quantity.
It’s very unlikely that you’ll make good decisions when betting on 20 or more games each weekend. You won’t have time to properly study each game, and you’ll almost certainly be betting on at least a couple of games that you should be avoiding. It’s MUCH better to be selective, and focus on placing just a few well thought out wagers.
Shop around for the best odds
Of the five tips I’ve offered here, this is the easiest one to follow. It’s arguably the most effective too. Shopping around for the best odds is very straightforward, and can have a major impact on how much money you make in the long run.
To do this effectively, you should first make sure you have accounts with a few reputable football betting sites. Whenever you’re placing a total goals wager, you just need to compare the odds available at each site and go with the best offer. The differences in odds will usually be quite small, but they’ll also add up to be quite significant over time.
Look outside the big leagues
A lot of football bettors have a tendency to focus on the big football leagues when betting on total goals. They’ll rarely, if ever, look beyond leagues such as the Premier League, La Liga and the Bundesliga. Although it might seem logical to stick to the highest profile games, this is actually a mistake.
There is often a LOT more value to be had by betting on lower profile games from less well-known leagues. This is simply because the bookmakers and betting sites don’t pay as much attention to these games. The odds are not quite so tight as a result, meaning you’re more likely to find opportunities where the odds are higher than they technically should be.
Consider ALL the relevant factors
You’re going to need to put some effort in if you want to make money from betting on total goals. This means doing plenty of research and, importantly, looking at each and every factor that can affect the number of goals scored in a game of football. There are more of these than you might think.
At the very least, you should be assessing all of the following.
- Statistics for goals scored and goals conceded.
- Overall quality of the teams.
- Overall form of the teams.
- Current form of likely goal scorers.
- The playing style of each team.
Other factors I recommend considering are motivation, fitness and recent workload. I also take the weather into account sometimes, especially when there are extreme weather conditions such as snow or heavy rain.
One bonus tip to leave you with applies to all forms of betting. PLEASE make sure that you gamble responsibly. Set yourself an affordable budget for your betting, and then stick to it. Never bet with money that you need for more important things, and never chase your losses. This should ensure that betting is always fun, regardless of whether you win or lose.